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FiveThirtyEight founder Nate Silver is no stranger to seeing a longshot come in, and that’s exactly what he found himself rooting for on day 6 of the $10,000 World Series of Poker main event.
The 45-year-old political forecaster, statistician, and journalist had already outlasted nearly 10,000 other players in the most prestigious tournament of the year, and had a solid stack with just ten tables remaining when disaster struck.
“Thought I was going to go from 2,500,000 to 11,000,000 in two hands, maybe having to fade some flush outs,” Silver wrote on Twitter. “Instead busto.”
Silver was seated at the PokerGO featured table when he looked down at pocket sixes. Henry Chan raised to 250,000 with the blinds at 60,000-120,000, and Silver made the call. WPT commentator Tony Dunst also called from the big blind, and the three players saw a flop of 7
6
2.
Dunst and Chan checked, and Silver bet 330,000 with his middle set. Dunst folded, and Chan raised to 1,400,000. Given the draw-heavy board, Silver opted to move in then and there, only to be shown the bad news with a snap call.
Chan had pocket sevens for a better set, leaving Silver drawing to just one out in the deck. According to the Card Player Poker Odds Calculator, Silver had just a four percent chance of coming from behind.
Silver tried to use his “one time,” hopeful for a one-outer suckout, but this time the odds held true as the dealer completed the board with the Q
and 3
.
Silver finished 87th overall for $92,600.
You can watch the hand below, courtesy of PokerGO.
A brutal end for
NateSilver538</a> who goes set under set against Henry Chan to be eliminated from the 2023 <a href="https://twitter.com/WSOP?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">WSOP Main Event.– Watch Live Here: https://t.co/dGLv7f1yTF pic.twitter.com/yQWAYTSrMF
— PokerGO (@PokerGO) July 13, 2023
Despite the cooler, Silver said he still had fun. It was his sixth cash at the series this summer, which included deep runs in the $10,000 secret bounty event and the $1,500 Monster Stack.
His best finish came in the 2021 $10,000 limit hold’em championship, where he took second for $151,842. The Michigan native now has just shy of $800,000 in career tournament earnings.
Silver used to be a professional poker player for a few years prior to his work as a baseball analyst. The longtime poker enthusiast maintained his position as editor-in-chief at FiveThiryEight until May of this year.
Visit the Card Player 2023 World Series of Poker page for schedules, news, interviews, and the latest event results. WSOP coverage sponsored by Global Poker.
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